Thursday, September 22, 2005

Setting Expectations

As I recently said in my podcast (patriotcast), It is always important to set expectations. I will now attempt to set expectations with the hurricane Rita.

Seaside structures will be destroyed. If the storm hits Galveston, it will be wiped out. Road access to Galveston will be destroyed and anyone who stayed in Galveston will be stranded for 3 to 10 days, assuming they weren’t killed in the storm.

The petrochemical industry will be severely impacted. Any oil refinery in the greater Houston area will be damaged and offline for weeks, perhaps months. The reduction in refining capacity will drive gas prices up to $4 to $6 a gallon. Refining capacity was already at max’d out prior to this disruption.

There will be flooding along the Houston Ship Channel.

Houston will be severely damaged.

Power will be out for 2 to 6 weeks. Sewer treatment plants will be offline. Water will be disrupted for days.

Basic services – police, fire and hospitals will be disrupted for 1 to 2 weeks.

Unlike Katrina, you will see a far greater use of military assets in the initial rescue and recovery effort.

However, there are no levees to fail. The water will recede within hours since the area is above sea level.

It will be ugly.

Please, get out now!

1 comment:

W. Ian Blanton said...

I, on the other hand, am of an enlightened nature and understand that what you ouline is what will NOT happen, now that everyone is leaving:

Galveston and Houston will be left with a fresh, pine scent, its streets cleaner than they've been in years.

Seaside structures will be painted a lovely lilac shade by paints picked up be the storm winds.

Oil will actually be deposited in refineries by unprecedented winds. One piano shop, however, will be destroyed.

Unless, of course, anyone stays, in which case all the things you said will happen.